![]() Seas 2-3 ft early Monday increases to 3-5 ft by Tuesday morning and builds further to 5-6 ft Tuesday evening, dominated by ESE swell. Breezy south winds remain in place until a cold front moves across the coastal waters sometime Wednesday, followed by offshore winds. Winds turn southerly during the day Tuesday as a warm front lifts north. Sunday Night through Thursday.Northeast flow Sunday night and Monday turns easterly Monday night as inland wedge breaks down with high pressure to the north. Wind and seas both abate slightly tomorrow. Given that even all the way out to 41013 seas are just barely 6 ft decided to hold off at this time. Through Sunday.Tough call on whether or not SCA needed for AMZ250 as post-frontal northerly winds add a chop to the ongoing swells. From there, periodic MVFR/IFR conditions and breezy conditions possible through the middle of next week, as a potent low pressure system affects the area. Northerly flow 5 kt or less at the start of this TAF period, will become NE 5 to 9 kt kt in the wake of the CFP and continue thru daylight Sun with some sustained fluctuations up to 10 kt.Įxtended Outlook.VFR conditions to prevail through the remainder of the weekend. Skies will become SKC overnight and dominate thru Sun. ![]() A BKN/OVC 6k to 8k foot cloud deck to affect the FA thru mid to late this evening as CAA and drier air infiltrate the Carolinas in the wake of the CFP. Above normal temps Tuesday and Wednesday cool a bit Wednesday night through Friday, though don't believe the CAA behind the front will be all that strong so might end up with temps near to just below normal. High pressure returns Thursday through Saturday, with low confidence in another coastal trough developing Friday that might lead to some light rain. Leaning more towards the quicker frontal passage, with would end rain chances and clear skies out sooner, but have kept low pops in the forecast through early Wednesday night to account for uncertainty. There continues to be discrepancy between the models on timing of the front, with GFS delaying FROPA until Wednesday evening while ECM and CMC bring the front through early in the day. An approaching cold front will bring chance for moderate rain Tuesday night into Wednesday, with total QPF around 1" through Wednesday. Sufficient low level isentropic lift on Tuesday as a warm front lifts north will bring on and off light rain throughout the day. Return flow and cloud cover will keeps low temps around 50F Monday night. PWATs increase Monday night as coastal trough develops with weakening ridge, with only low pops close to Tuesday morning. Highs in the mid 60s Monday with increasing low level clouds beneath 700mb subsidence inversion. Lows Sunday night in the low 40s, with potential for upper 30s across northern parts of CWA. Seasonable and dry for the start of the work week as surface high ridges in from the north and mid-upper ridge in place from the south. SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/ The boundary layer winds Sunday will bring 3kft of mixing and highs in the mid 60s. Lows in the low 40s will feel chilly after this morning's 60s but such values are within a few degrees of climatology. This will mean good conditions for viewing Leonid meteors but a jacket will be required as tonight will certainly be no repeat of this morning. Quiet weather with light north winds and clear skies on tap for tonight as an event-less cold front slides through this evening. Drier and slightly cooler conditions are expected by Thanksgiving as weak high pressure prevails. ![]() Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wilmington NC 716 PM EST Sat Nov 18 2023ĭry high pressure will build into the area through early week with rain chances from another storm system Tuesday into Wednesday.
0 Comments
Leave a Reply. |
AuthorWrite something about yourself. No need to be fancy, just an overview. ArchivesCategories |